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HomeBusinessFed's favorite inflation gauge suggests that consumer prices decreased in April

Fed’s favorite inflation gauge suggests that consumer prices decreased in April


Federal Reserve favorite Inflation gauge It has been shown that the price hike in April decreased slightly, as close to the central bank’s target, economists warned that inflation could be pushed more in the coming months.

The Department of Commerce said on Friday that Individual consumption expenditure Index on a monthly basis increased 0.1% and 2.1% on annual basis – the lowest growth rate since February 2021. Those figures were largely in line with the estimates of economists voted by LSEG.

The core PCE, which excludes unstable food and energy prices, was also corresponding to estimates in April on a monthly basis and 2.5% on an annual basis.

Federal Reserve Policy Manufacturers are focusing on PCE headline figure as they try to slow down their target speed of 2%, although they see core data as a better indicator of inflation. The headline PCE was below 2.3% in March, while the core PCE also decreased from 2.6%.

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Goods prices After a decline of 0.3% in March, there was a decline of 0.4% in April compared to a year ago. Prices of sustainable commodities fell 0.3% on an annual basis in April, while the prices of non -dying goods declined by 0.4%.

The prices of services in April were 3.3% higher than a year ago – the smallest growth after January.

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PCE inflation decreased in April, in line with the estimates of economists on a large scale. (Justin Sulivan / Getty Image / Getty Images)

wages and salaries On a monthly basis, 0.5% were above, two pre -earlier growth rates.

Personal savings rate In April, the percentage of disposable personal income on an annual basis was 4.9%, which was 4.3% a month ago.

The PCE report of the Commerce Department comes when the market watches are monitoring for a reversal signals in inflation run by the President Donald Trump’s Tariff.

federal Reserve It is indicated that it will wait for more inflation and labor market data before making a decision on cutting interest rates, due to uncertainty on how the tariffs will affect the economy.

Powell warns

Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that the central bank will monitor inflation and labor market data before a possible rate cut. (Reuters/Amanda Andrade-Rodes/File Photo/Reuters Photos)

Economists reacting to April PCE inflation figures said that tariffs may increase inflation figures in the months ahead of price pressures.

Ellen Zentner, chief economic strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said, “Markets can welcome today’s medium inflation figures, but we will have to wait until next month how tariffs are affecting the economy.” “The question is not whether the tariff will have an effect, it is a question of how big this effect will be.”

Zentner said, “Consumer expenses for April and business data already showed the impact of tariffs, with trade deficit, there was the biggest decline on records and consumer expenses after front-loading in February and March.”

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LPL Financial Chief Economist Jeffrey Roach said that April’s PCE data is “the lowest inflation print that we will probably look for for the remaining year,” saying that “prices will resume in the coming months.”



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