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American recession shortage: NABE economist


US economy entered 2025 With a stable hand, according to the National Association of Business Economics, a group of major economists of the country, a long -term recession is likely to fall.

NABE President Emily Collinsky Morris, CBE, Global Chief Economist, Ford Motor Company said, “According to panelists, the possibilities of recession are decreasing., Survey of January trade conditions of the group from 30 December, 2024, 13 January, 13 January, Taken on 2025.

President Donald Trump, who took over a week agoRunning on the ground, to roll out a series of pro-business executive orders to make the US more open to cryptocurrency, reduce energy restrictions and federal employees as their DOGE, Government’s Efficiency Department as Department To recruit, assesses areas to cut. waste.

Langer Security Last Change Change %
Befall Oracle Corp. 158.28 -25.39

-13.82%

Sftby SoftBank Group Corp. 30.2 -3.35

-9.99%

Additionally, he announced Investment of $ 500 billion from Openai, Softbank and Oracle He is also threatening tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China to expand artificial intelligence in the US.

Nevertheless, inflation remains a headwind. While 65% of the NABE economists see prices stable in the next three months, 35% expect the price to increase, in October there is an increase in 28% polling.

Last month, the Consumer Price Index increased 2.9% annually and 0.4% vs. November. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy, increased by 3.2% annually. Inflation is below its 9.1% peak in July 2022, but still above the Federal Reserve’s favorite 2% target.

Inflation increases by 2.9% in December as per expectations

President Donald Trump gives a speech on January 23, 2025 through a video-conference during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Switzerland. (Through Halil Sagirkaya/Anadolu)

Trump explods Bofa, controversial controversy

Trump convicted the Biden administration for high inflation, marking his return to the office, during his distance presence in front of the World Economic Forum.

,In the last four years, our government racked $ 8 trillion at the expense of useless deficit and provoked energy restrictions and promoted hidden taxes like never before. Trump told the people present in Davos that the result is the worst inflation crisis in modern history, and even for our citizens and even all over the world, sky-high interest rates, food prices and almost all known for mankind The price of the second thing passes through the roof. , Switzerland. Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

,I will demand that interest rates fall immediately. And similarly, they should be left all over the world. We should follow the interest rates, “he said.

The President of the Fed speaks during a press conference in Federal Reserve on December 18, 2024 at Fede. (Alex Wong / Getty Image)

Policy makers are expected to leave unchanged rates at the conclusion of the two-day meeting on Wednesday. CME’s fedwatch toolWhich tracks the possibility of rate move. This federal amount will be kept between 4.25%-4.50%.

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On Thursday, the GDP was seen growing 3% for the fourth quarter, in line with 3.1% reported in the third quarter.



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